Bold Takes
Alshon/Patriquin vs JW/Klinger is a coin flip. Only 22 Sheet Rating™ separates them (53.1%). This is the match to watch in men's doubles — the winner likely gets Johns/Tardio in the final.
Christian vs Jansen is basically 50/50. 8 Sheet Rating™ points. 51.2% confidence. The model can barely pick a side. Jansen's experience edge is real but Christian's been clinical all week.
ALW/Johns at 84.4% is the lock of the day. A 294 Sheet Rating™ gap in mixed doubles. Alshon/Rohrabacher would need an all-time upset. The real mixed final is Johnsons vs Patriquin/Bright.
Devilliers as a 14-seed in the SF is the Cinderella story. 194 Sheet Rating™ below Staksrud. He's defied seedings all week but the math says this is where the run ends.
[1] SEED
Hunter Johnson
Sheet Rating™ 1883
PICK — 61.4%
VS
[3] SEED
Christian Alshon
Sheet Rating™ 1802
[2] SEED
Federico Staksrud
Sheet Rating™ 1823
PICK — 75.4%
VS
[14] SEED
Jay Devilliers
Sheet Rating™ 1629
[1] SEED
Ben Johns / Gabriel Tardio
Sheet Rating™ 2017
PICK — 68.7%
VS
[3] SEED
Andrei Daescu / Federico Staksrud
Sheet Rating™ 1880
[2] SEED
Christian Alshon / Hayden Patriquin
Sheet Rating™ 1891
PICK — 53.1%
VS
[4] SEED
JW Johnson / CJ Klinger
Sheet Rating™ 1869
[1] SEED
Anna Leigh Waters / Anna Bright
Sheet Rating™ 2030
PICK — 70.8%
VS
[3] SEED
Jorja Johnson / Tyra Hurricane Black
Sheet Rating™ 1877
[2] SEED
Catherine Parenteau / Rachel Rohrabacher
Sheet Rating™ 1832
PICK — 51.9%
VS
[4] SEED
Jade Kawamoto / Jackie Kawamoto
Sheet Rating™ 1819
[1] SEED
Anna Leigh Waters / Ben Johns
Sheet Rating™ 2099
PICK — 84.4%
VS
[4] SEED
Christian Alshon / Rachel Rohrabacher
Sheet Rating™ 1805
[2] SEED
Jorja Johnson / JW Johnson
Sheet Rating™ 1942
PICK — 53.2%
VS
[3] SEED
Hayden Patriquin / Anna Bright
Sheet Rating™ 1919
Storylines to Watch
Alshon's Triple Threat — Christian Alshon is in the SF of men's singles, men's doubles, AND mixed doubles. Can he sustain the energy across three events on the same day?
Bouchard vs Parenteau — The tennis crossover star faces the veteran. Bouchard as a 7-seed has been the upset machine, but Parenteau's 94 Sheet Rating™ advantage says the run likely ends here.
Kawamoto Sisters — Jackie and Jade Kawamoto at the 4-seed in women's doubles. Only 13 Sheet Rating™ separates them from Parenteau/Rohrabacher. A family affair in the SF.
Valentine's Day Showdown — Championship Sunday berths on the line. Ten matches. Five divisions. The stakes couldn't be higher.